Houston vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Sporting KC MLS game on May 11, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
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MLS
Houston
2
1
May 12, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
May 12, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
D. Salloi (61')
H. Herrera (31')
A. Ibrahim (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces W. Agada
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Bartlow replaces A. Ibrahim
90'
Yellow Card
S. Kowalczyk (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
A. Fontas (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Smith replaces A. Bassi
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces A. Vargas
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: A. Vargas replaces J. Russell
78'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by A. Ibrahim, assisted by G. Dorsey
2-1
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Tzionis replaces A. Pulido
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Blessing replaces H. Herrera
61'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi, assisted by M. Rodriguez
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Schmitt replaces D. Steres
45'
Yellow Card
M. Rodriguez (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
31'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by H. Herrera, assisted by A. Bassi
1-0

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Houston vs. Sporting KC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Houston +220, Sporting KC +125, Draw +225
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-110/-110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Houston: 29.8%
  • Sporting KC: 44.4%
  • Draw: 25.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Houston 1-1 Sporting KC, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sporting KC a win probability of 44.4%, while Houston has a win probability of 29.8%. The chance of a draw is 25.7%.

Summary

Our Houston vs. Sporting KC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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