Toluca vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Monterrey Liga MX game on August 31, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
2
1
Sep 1, 1AM Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe)
Monterrey
Sep 1, 1AM Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
B. Vazquez (pen.) (54')
J. Gallardo (6')
I. Violante (87')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MON
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Pinuelas replaces M. Ruiz
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Amaya replaces A. Vega
90'
Yellow Card
S. Medina (Monterrey) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
G. Berterame (Monterrey) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
(Toluca) cautioned
87'
Goal scored for Toluca by I. Violante, assisted by Paulinho
2-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
80'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: F. Ambriz replaces O. Torres
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Corona replaces B. Vazquez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces J. Angulo
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
59'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
54'
Goal scored for Monterrey by B. Vazquez (pen.)
1-1
23'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Rojas replaces J. Cortizo
6'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Gallardo, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
1-0

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Toluca vs. Monterrey: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, August 31, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +280, Monterrey -105, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-156/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 26.4%
  • Monterrey: 50.7%
  • Draw: 22.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Monterrey, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Monterrey a win probability of 50.7%, while Toluca has a win probability of 26.4%. The chance of a draw is 22.9%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Monterrey predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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