San Luis vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Toluca Liga MX game on August 25, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
San Luis
1
2
Aug 25, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Aug 25, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
San LuisASL
J. Gallardo (30')
Paulinho (60')
V. Arteaga (69')
R. Najera (37')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ASL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces Paulinho
90'
Yellow Card
J. Guemez (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces O. Macias
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Guemez replaces R. Najera
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Yan Phillipe replaces S. Salles-Lamonge
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Leo Bonatini replaces F. Boli
69'
Red Card
V. Arteaga (Toluca) sent off for a second yellow card
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Baeza replaces A. Vega
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces J. Angulo
63'
Yellow Card
V. Arteaga (Toluca) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces F. Amaya
60'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
1-2
57'
Yellow Card
Vitinho (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
37'
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by R. Najera
1-1
30'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Gallardo, assisted by J. Angulo
0-1

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San Luis vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, August 25, 2024
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: San Luis +500, Toluca -210, Draw +370

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • San Luis: 14.1%
  • Toluca: 69.0%
  • Draw: 16.9%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is San Luis 1-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 69.0%, while San Luis has a win probability of 14.1%. The chance of a draw is 16.9%.

Summary

Our San Luis vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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