Toluca vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. San Luis Liga MX game on April 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
0
Apr 17, 2AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
San Luis
Apr 17, 2AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San LuisASL
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
J. Gallardo (16')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ASL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaSan LuisDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaSan LuisHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces Paulinho
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces S. Salles-Lamonge
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces F. Romero
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces A. Vega
71'
Yellow Card
S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces Helinho
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Klimowicz replaces D. Abitia
51'
Yellow Card
E. del Villar (Toluca) cautioned
16'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Gallardo, assisted by A. Vega
1-0

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Toluca vs. San Luis: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. San Luis
  • Date: Wednesday, April 16, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca -149, San Luis +400, Draw +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 58.4%
  • San Luis: 21.6%
  • Draw: 20.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 2-1 San Luis, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives San Luis a win probability of 21.6%, while Toluca has a win probability of 58.4%. The chance of a draw is 20.0%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. San Luis predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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