Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX game on July 20, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
:
1
Jul 21, 3:05AM Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Cruz Azul
Jul 21, 3:05AM Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
A. Sepulveda (89')
M. Araujo (38')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CRA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda, assisted by G. Giakoumakis
1-1
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Lira replaces L. Romo
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Candido replaces L. Faravelli
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Bruno Mendez replaces M. Araujo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Amaya replaces M. Ruiz
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces A. H. Gutierrez Torres
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces C. Rodriguez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces A. Vega
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces Paulinho
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: U. Antuna replaces I. Rivero
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Meneses replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
55'
Yellow Card
G. Giakoumakis (Cruz Azul) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
38'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Araujo, assisted by Paulinho
1-0
31'
Yellow Card
J. Gallardo (Toluca) cautioned
12'
Yellow Card
C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned

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Toluca vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, July 20, 2024
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +260, Cruz Azul -105, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-175/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 29.8%
  • Cruz Azul: 45.8%
  • Draw: 24.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Cruz Azul a win probability of 45.8%, while Toluca has a win probability of 29.8%. The chance of a draw is 24.4%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Cruz Azul predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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