Guadalajara vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Toluca Liga MX game on February 15, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
2
Feb 16, 3:10AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Feb 16, 3:10AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
A. Vega (34')
H. Camberos (o.g.) (90')
H. Camberos (70')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGuadalajaraTolucaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGuadalajaraTolucaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces A. Mozo
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces R. Alvarado
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by H. Camberos (o.g.)
1-2
90'
Yellow Card
Luan (Toluca) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Briseno replaces A. Vega
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces F. Romero
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces J. Gallardo
70'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by H. Camberos
1-1
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Helinho replaces J. Angulo
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces R. Morales
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Gonzalez replaces A. Pulido
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces Y. Padilla
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Chavez Garcia replaces L. Rey
34'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega
0-1

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Guadalajara vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
  • Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Guadalajara +370, Toluca -130, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-130/+105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 20.7%
  • Toluca: 56.6%
  • Draw: 22.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Guadalajara 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 56.6%, while Guadalajara has a win probability of 20.7%. The chance of a draw is 22.7%.

Summary

Our Guadalajara vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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