Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX game on January 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
:
1
Jan 30, 3:05AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Pumas UNAM
Jan 30, 3:05AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
P. Bennevendo (61')
Nathan Silva (o.g.) (51')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UNAM
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaPumas UNAMDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityTolucaPumas UNAMHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces R. Lopez
89'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces A. Carrasquilla
86'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces A. Vega
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces I. Lopez
73'
Yellow Card
I. Pussetto (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Helinho replaces J. Angulo
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
64'
Yellow Card
A. Carrasquilla (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
61'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by P. Bennevendo, assisted by I. Pussetto
1-1
60'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Ruvalcaba replaces U. Rivas
53'
Yellow Card
P. Bennevendo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
51'
Goal scored for Toluca by Nathan Silva (o.g.)
1-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: I. Pussetto replaces P. A. Quispe Cordova
46'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Monroy replaces R. Ergas
17'
Yellow Card
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned

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Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +185, Pumas UNAM +170, Draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+105/-106)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 34.9%
  • Pumas UNAM: 38.7%
  • Draw: 26.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Pumas UNAM a win probability of 38.7%, while Toluca has a win probability of 34.9%. The chance of a draw is 26.5%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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