Juarez vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Toluca Liga MX game on July 13, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Juarez
2
3
Jul 14, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Jul 14, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
Paulinho (10')
M. Mosquera (o.g.) (17')
Paulinho (71')
J. Venegas (48')
A. Zaldivar (54')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
JUA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: S. Perez replaces J. Venegas
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: C. Lopez replaces R. Orquin
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces A. Vega
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces J. Meneses
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: A. Garcia replaces D. Campillo Del Campo
71'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by M. Ruiz
2-3
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
61'
Yellow Card
A. Zaldivar (Juarez) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces I. Lopez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Amaya replaces C. Baeza
54'
Goal scored for Juarez by A. Zaldivar, assisted by J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
2-2
48'
Goal scored for Juarez by J. Venegas, assisted by R. Orquin
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces A. Hurtado
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. Abella replaces Edson Fernando
37'
Yellow Card
D. Villalpando (Juarez) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
R. Orquin (Juarez) cautioned
17'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Mosquera (o.g.)
0-2
15'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
10'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by J. Gallardo
0-1

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Juarez vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, July 13, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Juarez +600, Toluca -250, Draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-190/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Juarez: 13.1%
  • Toluca: 69.2%
  • Draw: 17.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Juarez 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 69.2%, while Juarez has a win probability of 13.1%. The chance of a draw is 17.7%.

Summary

Our Juarez vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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