Monterrey vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Toluca Liga MX game on January 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
1
:
1
Jan 19, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Jan 19, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
Helinho (12')
S. Canales (49')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MON
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMonterreyTolucaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMonterreyTolucaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: L. Reyes replaces G. Arteaga
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: E. Aguirre replaces R. Chavez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces G. Berterame
83'
Yellow Card
D. Barbosa (Toluca) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Amaya replaces V. Arteaga
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces J. Angulo
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Alvarado replaces J. Corona
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces N. Deossa
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces R. Morales
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces Helinho
66'
Yellow Card
H. Moreno (Monterrey) cautioned
49'
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales, assisted by J. Corona
1-1
12'
Goal scored for Toluca by Helinho, assisted by A. Vega
0-1

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Monterrey vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Monterrey +360, Toluca -130, Draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-175/+135)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Monterrey: 23.4%
  • Toluca: 54.6%
  • Draw: 22.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Monterrey 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 54.6%, while Monterrey has a win probability of 23.4%. The chance of a draw is 22.0%.

Summary

Our Monterrey vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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