Toluca vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Guadalajara Liga MX game on July 6, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
0
:
0
Jul 7, 1AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Jul 7, 1AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: O. Govea replaces R. Alvarado
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces J. Meneses
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Amaya replaces M. Ruiz
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Barajas replaces C. Cowell
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces C. Baeza
64'
Yellow Card
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
63'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: V. Guzman replaces C. Cisneros
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces Chicharito
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Paulinho replaces R. Morales
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
42'
Yellow Card
F. Beltran (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Toluca vs. Guadalajara: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, July 6, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +188, Guadalajara +135, Draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/-120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 31.9%
  • Guadalajara: 42.4%
  • Draw: 25.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Guadalajara a win probability of 42.4%, while Toluca has a win probability of 31.9%. The chance of a draw is 25.7%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Guadalajara predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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