Toluca vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Necaxa Liga MX game on October 27, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
3
1
Oct 28, 12AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Oct 28, 12AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
A. Palavecino (90')
J. Angulo (19')
J. Angulo (25')
J. Angulo (66')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Palavecino, assisted by A. Mayorga
3-1
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: L. Navarrete replaces J. Gallardo
77'
Yellow Card
A. Palavecino (Necaxa) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Duarte replaces I. Violante
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces T. Badaloni
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces J. Paradela
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Vega replaces J. Angulo
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Baeza replaces M. Ruiz
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. A. Garcia Caprizo replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
66'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo, assisted by I. Violante
3-0
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Mayorga replaces H. Jurado
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: D. Cambindo replaces B. Garnica
25'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo, assisted by I. Violante
2-0
19'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo
1-0

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Toluca vs. Necaxa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +145, Necaxa +195, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-149/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 45.9%
  • Necaxa: 29.9%
  • Draw: 24.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Necaxa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Necaxa a win probability of 29.9%, while Toluca has a win probability of 45.9%. The chance of a draw is 24.2%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Necaxa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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