Atlas vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Toluca Liga MX game on September 28, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Atlas
1
4
Sep 28, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Sep 28, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
AtlasATL
Paulinho (33')
Helinho (40')
I. Violante (54')
I. Violante (61')
A. Rocha (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
H. Nervo (Atlas) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces Paulinho
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Cruz replaces R. Fulgencio
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: U. Djurdjevic replaces E. Aguirre
84'
Yellow Card
Paulinho (Toluca) cautioned
78'
Goal scored for Atlas by A. Rocha
1-4
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces A. Vega
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces J. Marquez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: I. Larios replaces J. Lozano
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: K. Castillo replaces Helinho
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces M. Ruiz
62'
Yellow Card
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned
61'
Goal scored for Toluca by I. Violante, assisted by Paulinho
0-4
54'
Goal scored for Toluca by I. Violante
0-3
40'
Goal scored for Toluca by Helinho, assisted by Paulinho
0-2
33'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
0-1

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Atlas vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atlas +500, Toluca -185, Draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-140/+115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atlas: 14.0%
  • Toluca: 66.8%
  • Draw: 19.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Atlas 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 66.8%, while Atlas has a win probability of 14.0%. The chance of a draw is 19.2%.

Summary

Our Atlas vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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