Toluca vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Pachuca Liga MX game on September 17, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
2
:
2
Sep 18, 1AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
Pachuca
Sep 18, 1AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
S. A. Hernandez (57')
O. Gonzalez (68')
J. Berlanga (81')
A. Vega (pen.) (45')
A. Duarte (79')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
I. Violante (Toluca) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
F. Amaya (Toluca) cautioned
81'
Red Card
J. Berlanga (Pachuca) sent off for a second yellow card
79'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Duarte
2-2
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: C. Sanchez replaces L. Rodriguez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: S. De Los Rios replaces S. A. Hernandez
68'
Goal scored for Pachuca by O. Gonzalez
1-2
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
64'
Yellow Card
(Toluca) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Duarte replaces J. Angulo
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Amaya replaces V. Arteaga
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: O. Gonzalez replaces F. A. Gil Mosquera
57'
Goal scored for Pachuca by S. A. Hernandez
1-1
55'
Yellow Card
V. Arteaga (Toluca) cautioned
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: O. Idrissi replaces A. Bautista
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega (pen.)
1-0
41'
Yellow Card
J. Berlanga (Pachuca) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned

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Toluca vs. Pachuca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Tuesday, September 17, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Hidalgo

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +155, Pachuca +175, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-135/+110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 44.2%
  • Pachuca: 31.3%
  • Draw: 24.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Pachuca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Pachuca a win probability of 31.3%, while Toluca has a win probability of 44.2%. The chance of a draw is 24.5%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Pachuca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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