Guadalajara vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Guadalajara vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Guadalajara vs. Toluca
• Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
• Time: 10:10 PM ET
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

• Moneyline Odds: Guadalajara +320, Toluca -120, Draw +275
• Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-134/+105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Guadalajara: 24.8%
• Toluca: 51.0%
• Draw: 24.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Guadalajara 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 51.0%, while Guadalajara has a win probability of 24.8%. The chance of a draw is 24.2%.

Summary

Our Guadalajara vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.