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Guadalajara vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Toluca Liga MX game on May 11, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
0
:
0
May 12, 2:10AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
May 12, 2:10AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (58')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
GCH
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Briseno replaces A. Mozo
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces F. Beltran
90'
Yellow Card
J. Castillo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces M. Ruiz
82'
Yellow Card
J. Meneses (Toluca) cautioned
81'
Yellow Card
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces C. Baeza
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Chicharito replaces R. Marin
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cowell replaces V. Guzman
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces P. Perez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces J. Meneses
58'
Red Card
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) sent off with a straight red card
45'
Yellow Card
A. Mozo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
J. R. Rangel Aguilar (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

Game Prediction Article

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Guadalajara vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Guadalajara +320, Toluca -120, Draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-134/+105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 51.0%
  • Toluca: 24.8%
  • Draw: 24.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Guadalajara 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 51.0%, while Guadalajara has a win probability of 24.8%. The chance of a draw is 24.2%.

Summary

Our Guadalajara vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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