Toluca vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Guadalajara Liga MX game on May 8, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
0
1
May 9, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
May 9, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
V. Guzman (87')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Ruiz replaces C. Orrantia
87'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by V. Guzman
0-1
83'
Yellow Card
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cowell replaces P. Perez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Araujo replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces J. Angulo
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces Chicharito
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: V. Guzman replaces I. Brizuela

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Toluca vs. Guadalajara: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Wednesday, May 8, 2024
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +205, Guadalajara +145, Draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-110/-120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 31.9%
  • Guadalajara: 43.1%
  • Draw: 25.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Guadalajara a win probability of 43.1%, while Toluca has a win probability of 31.9%. The chance of a draw is 25.0%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Guadalajara predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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