Cruz Azul vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Toluca Liga MX game on April 27, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
1
0
Apr 28, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Apr 28, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
W. Ditta (18')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CRA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces U. Antuna
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces J. Meneses
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces C. Orrantia
73'
Penalty missed by Tiago Volpi for Toluca
73'
Yellow Card
C. Candido (Cruz Azul) cautioned
71'
Yellow Card
C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
68'
Penalty missed by Tiago Volpi for Toluca
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. H. Gutierrez Torres replaces L. Faravelli
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces M. Ruiz
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces J. Angulo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Lira replaces G. Piovi
18'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by W. Ditta, assisted by C. Rotondi
1-0

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Cruz Azul vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Cruz Azul +165, Toluca +155, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-160/+114)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 31.2%
  • Toluca: 44.6%
  • Draw: 24.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 44.6%, while Cruz Azul has a win probability of 31.2%. The chance of a draw is 24.2%.

Summary

Our Cruz Azul vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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