Toluca vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Pachuca Liga MX game on March 30, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
3
2
Mar 31, 1AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
Pachuca
Mar 31, 1AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
M. Rodriguez (3')
B. Gonzalez (82')
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (13')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (34')
A. Vega (44')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces J. Meneses
90'
Yellow Card
L. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces J. Angulo
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces C. Orrantia
84'
Yellow Card
E. Montiel (Pachuca) cautioned
82'
Goal scored for Pachuca by B. Gonzalez
3-2
75'
Yellow Card
C. Orrantia (Toluca) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: D. Hernandez replaces O. Idrissi
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: E. Montiel replaces P. Pedraza
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces E. Sanchez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Rodriguez replaces C. Sanchez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces M. Rodriguez
44'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega
3-1
39'
Yellow Card
C. Sanchez (Pachuca) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
J. Escobar (Toluca) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
S. Rondon (Pachuca) cautioned
34'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
2-1
31'
Yellow Card
S. D. Barreto (Pachuca) cautioned
13'
Goal scored for Toluca by B. A. Garcia Caprizo, assisted by C. Orrantia
1-1
3'
Goal scored for Pachuca by M. Rodriguez
0-1

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Toluca vs. Pachuca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Hidalgo

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +200, Pachuca +125, Draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-176/+126)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 36.7%
  • Pachuca: 39.8%
  • Draw: 23.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Pachuca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Pachuca a win probability of 39.8%, while Toluca has a win probability of 36.7%. The chance of a draw is 23.5%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Pachuca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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