Juarez vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Toluca Liga MX game on July 16, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Juarez
4
2
Jul 16, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Jul 16, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
R. Morales (20')
M. Araujo (29')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (69')
A. Urzi (17')
S. Saucedo (63')
A. Escoto (77')
A. Garcia (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
JUA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Juarez by A. Garcia, assisted by A. Zapata
4-2
85'
Yellow Card
R. Pasquel Colin (Juarez) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces C. Baeza
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces J. Venegas
77'
Goal scored for Juarez by A. Escoto
3-2
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: M. Osuna replaces S. Saucedo
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: G. N. Pelua Paez replaces A. Cruz
69'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
2-2
63'
Goal scored for Juarez by S. Saucedo, assisted by A. Cruz
2-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces M. Ruiz
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Meneses replaces R. Morales
48'
Yellow Card
S. Saucedo (Juarez) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: A. Escoto replaces D. Chavez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: S. Perez replaces A. Urzi
45'
Yellow Card
D. Chavez (Juarez) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
30'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: R. Pasquel Colin replaces A. Talavera
29'
Red Card
M. Araujo (Toluca) sent off with a straight red card
29'
Yellow Card
Tiago Volpi (Toluca) cautioned
20'
Goal scored for Toluca by R. Morales, assisted by M. Ruiz
1-1
17'
Goal scored for Juarez by A. Urzi, assisted by D. Chavez
1-0

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Juarez vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, July 16, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Juarez +500, Toluca -195, Draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-152/+115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Juarez: 17.1%
  • Toluca: 61.2%
  • Draw: 21.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Juarez 0-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 61.2%, while Juarez has a win probability of 17.1%. The chance of a draw is 21.7%.

Summary

Our Juarez vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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