Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Liga MX game on March 17, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
0
3
Mar 18, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Mar 18, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
A. Vega (14')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (36')
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (77')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Mora replaces J. Escobar
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces M. Ruiz
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
77'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by J. Meneses
0-3
75'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces A. Vega
67'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Gutierrez replaces R. Lopez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Funes Mori replaces E. Salvio
65'
Yellow Card
L. Suarez (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces J. Angulo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces P. Monroy
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: L. Suarez replaces P. Bennevendo
40'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
R. Lopez (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
36'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
0-2
32'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: A. Aldrete replaces M. Casares
26'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: P. A. Quispe Cordova replaces S. Trigos
14'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
0-1

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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, March 17, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pumas UNAM +350, Toluca -125, Draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-155/+110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 22.8%
  • Toluca: 54.7%
  • Draw: 22.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 54.7%, while Pumas UNAM has a win probability of 22.8%. The chance of a draw is 22.5%.

Summary

Our Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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