Toluca vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Necaxa Liga MX game on February 10, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
3
:
3
Feb 10, 11PM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Feb 10, 11PM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
D. Cambindo (27')
B. Garnica (43')
D. Cambindo (90')
J. Meneses (6')
T. Belmonte (69')
E. Unsain (o.g.) (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Necaxa by D. Cambindo, assisted by J. Paradela
3-3
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Escobar replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces J. Meneses
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: B. Samudio replaces M. Mayorga
78'
Goal scored for Toluca by E. Unsain (o.g.)
3-2
73'
Yellow Card
J. Paradela (Necaxa) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Mendez replaces R. Monreal
69'
Goal scored for Toluca by T. Belmonte, assisted by J. Meneses
2-2
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
58'
Yellow Card
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Andrade replaces H. Jurado
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Vega replaces C. Baeza
43'
Goal scored for Necaxa by B. Garnica, assisted by R. Monreal
1-2
31'
Yellow Card
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
27'
Goal scored for Necaxa by D. Cambindo
1-1
6'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
1-0

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Toluca vs. Necaxa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Saturday, February 10, 2024
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +100, Necaxa +260, Draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-144/+105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 46.8%
  • Necaxa: 28.7%
  • Draw: 24.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Necaxa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Necaxa a win probability of 28.7%, while Toluca has a win probability of 46.8%. The chance of a draw is 24.5%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Necaxa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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