Toluca vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Guadalajara Liga MX game on January 30, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
2
3
Jan 31, 3:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Jan 31, 3:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
F. Beltran (1')
P. Perez (43')
R. Marin (81')
M. Ruiz (7')
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
83'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Figueroa replaces J. Meneses
81'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin, assisted by A. Gonzalez Alba
2-3
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Torres replaces F. Beltran
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Gonzalez Alba replaces V. Guzman
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Villegas replaces M. Araujo
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces P. Perez
72'
Yellow Card
J. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned
66'
Yellow Card
J. Castillo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
62'
Yellow Card
E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces T. Belmonte
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces C. Cowell
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by B. A. Garcia Caprizo, assisted by M. Araujo
2-2
45'
Yellow Card
P. Perez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
43'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by P. Perez, assisted by E. Gutierrez
1-2
40'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Briseno replaces G. Sepulveda
14'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
7'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz
1-1
1'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by F. Beltran, assisted by R. Alvarado
0-1

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Toluca vs. Guadalajara: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Tuesday, January 30, 2024
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +240, Guadalajara +120, Draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-115/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 29.9%
  • Guadalajara: 44.1%
  • Draw: 26.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Guadalajara a win probability of 44.1%, while Toluca has a win probability of 29.9%. The chance of a draw is 26.0%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Guadalajara predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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