Mazatlan vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. Toluca Liga MX game on January 20, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
4
Jan 20, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Jan 20, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
C. Baeza (37')
J. Meneses (61')
J. Meneses (86')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (90')
A. Montano (pen.) (16')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MAZ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
1-4
89'
Yellow Card
T. Belmonte (Toluca) cautioned
86'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by T. Belmonte
1-3
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Medina replaces A. Montano
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Maduena replaces B. Colula
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Mora replaces C. Baeza
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces J. Angulo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Flores replaces J. Esquivel
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: L. Amarilla replaces J. Diaz
61'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by R. Morales
1-2
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Meneses replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
44'
Yellow Card
J. Intriago (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
37'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Baeza, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
1-1
33'
Yellow Card
V. Huerta (Toluca) cautioned
30'
Yellow Card
B. Colula (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
23'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces M. Isais
16'
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by A. Montano (pen.)
1-0
14'
Yellow Card
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned

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Mazatlan vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, January 20, 2024
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Mazatlan +600, Toluca -235, Draw +380

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 14.8%
  • Toluca: 66.1%
  • Draw: 19.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Mazatlan 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 66.1%, while Mazatlan has a win probability of 14.8%. The chance of a draw is 19.1%.

Summary

Our Mazatlan vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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