Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX game on July 8, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
2
0
Jul 8, 11:50PM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Cruz Azul
Jul 8, 11:50PM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
S. Jurado (39')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (37')
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CRA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by J. Meneses
2-0
90'
Yellow Card
C. Rotondi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces M. Ruiz
83'
Yellow Card
C. Jimenez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces M. Araujo
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Meneses replaces R. Morales
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Escoboza replaces K. D. Castano Gil
66'
Yellow Card
M. Araujo (Toluca) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Lotti replaces D. Cambindo
57'
Yellow Card
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (Toluca) cautioned
53'
Yellow Card
I. Rivero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Huescas replaces C. Tabo
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Guerrero replaces J. Escobar
52'
Yellow Card
D. Cambindo (Cruz Azul) cautioned
42'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Gudino replaces Moises
39'
Red Card
S. Jurado (Cruz Azul) sent off with a straight red card
37'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
1-0
29'
Yellow Card
V. Huerta (Toluca) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (Toluca) cautioned

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Toluca vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, July 8, 2023
  • Time: 7:50 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Azteca

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +175, Cruz Azul +150, Draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-144/+110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 35.7%
  • Cruz Azul: 39.4%
  • Draw: 24.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Cruz Azul a win probability of 39.4%, while Toluca has a win probability of 35.7%. The chance of a draw is 24.8%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Cruz Azul predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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