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Necaxa vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Toluca Liga MX game on July 2, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
0
:
0
Jul 2, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Jul 2, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
NEC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: W. Madrid replaces B. Garnica
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: S. Tlaxcalteco replaces R. Morales
71'
Yellow Card
R. Morales (Toluca) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Dominguez replaces H. Jurado
64'
Yellow Card
F. Formiliano (Necaxa) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Batista replaces M. Silvera
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Cortes replaces V. Poggi
52'
Yellow Card
V. Poggi (Necaxa) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. A. Garcia Caprizo replaces C. Orrantia
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces F. Navarro
35'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
9'
Yellow Card
C. Gonzalez (Necaxa) cautioned
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Necaxa vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, July 2, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Necaxa +430, Toluca -155, Draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-172/+122)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Necaxa: 13.3%
  • Toluca: 68.1%
  • Draw: 18.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Necaxa 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 68.1%, while Necaxa has a win probability of 13.3%. The chance of a draw is 18.6%.

Summary

Our Necaxa vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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