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Puebla vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Toluca Liga MX game on October 31, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
0
Nov 1, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Nov 1, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
G. Martinez (pen.) (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Orona replaces G. Ferrareis
89'
Yellow Card
C. Baltazar (Puebla) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces D. Alvarez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Pedro Raul replaces T. Belmonte
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces M. Ruiz
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
78'
Goal scored for Puebla by G. Martinez (pen.)
1-0
76'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
75'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces K. Velasco
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: M. Sansores replaces M. Barragan
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces R. Morales
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Baeza replaces M. Araujo
45'
Yellow Card
D. De Buen (Puebla) cautioned
31'
Yellow Card
M. Araujo (Toluca) cautioned
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Puebla vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Toluca
  • Date: Tuesday, October 31, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Puebla +500, Toluca -210, Draw +390

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Puebla: 17.1%
  • Toluca: 64.1%
  • Draw: 18.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Puebla 1-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 64.1%, while Puebla has a win probability of 17.1%. The chance of a draw is 18.8%.

Summary

Our Puebla vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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