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San Luis vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Toluca Liga MX game on October 29, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
San Luis
1
3
Oct 29, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Oct 29, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
San LuisASL
A. Villegas (18')
J. Angulo (69')
J. Angulo (90')
Rodrigo Dourado (45')
A. Zaldivar (83')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ASL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo
1-3
87'
Yellow Card
J. Venegas (Toluca) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
I. Violante (Toluca) cautioned
83'
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by A. Zaldivar
1-2
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Zaldivar replaces Vitinho
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Klimowicz replaces L. Bonatini
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. Lopez replaces A. Villegas
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Pedro Raul replaces J. Meneses
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Damm replaces J. Murillo
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: I. Moreno replaces R. Chavez
69'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo
0-2
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces M. Araujo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Venegas replaces C. Baeza
65'
Yellow Card
A. Villegas (Toluca) cautioned
61'
Yellow Card
J. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces M. Ruiz
52'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Salles Lamonge replaces E. Aguila
45'
Red Card
Rodrigo Dourado (Atl. San Luis) sent off for a second yellow card
31'
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Dourado (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
18'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Villegas, assisted by J. Meneses
0-1
16'
Yellow Card
J. Murillo (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
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San Luis vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: San Luis +330, Toluca -125, Draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-164/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • San Luis: 19.7%
  • Toluca: 58.8%
  • Draw: 21.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is San Luis 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 58.8%, while San Luis has a win probability of 19.7%. The chance of a draw is 21.5%.

Summary

Our San Luis vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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