Toluca vs. Club Leon Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Club Leon Liga MX game on October 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
0
1
Oct 21, 11PM Estadio León (Nou Camp) (León de los Aldamas)
Club Leon
Oct 21, 11PM Estadio León (Nou Camp) (León de los Aldamas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Club LeonLEO
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
N. Lopez (39')
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (83')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LEO
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: B. Sanchez replaces B. Rubio
87'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
83'
Red Card
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (Toluca) sent off with a straight red card
74'
Yellow Card
J. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned
67'
Yellow Card
A. Mena (Club Leon) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Pedro Raul replaces M. Ruiz
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: A. Mena replaces N. Lopez
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: O. Fernandez replaces D. Ramirez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces R. Morales
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Meneses replaces M. Araujo
45'
Yellow Card
R. Morales (Toluca) cautioned
39'
Goal scored for Club Leon by N. Lopez, assisted by L. Romero
0-1

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Toluca vs. Club Leon: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Club Leon
  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio León

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +220, Club Leon +110, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-166/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 28.0%
  • Club Leon: 47.8%
  • Draw: 24.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Club Leon, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Club Leon a win probability of 47.8%, while Toluca has a win probability of 28.0%. The chance of a draw is 24.3%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Club Leon predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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