Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX game on October 4, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
2
:
2
Oct 5, 3AM Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León (San Nicolás de los Garza)
Tigres UANL
Oct 5, 3AM Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León (San Nicolás de los Garza)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
J. Angulo (45')
A. Gignac (76')
M. Ruiz (44')
J. Meneses (45')
R. Morales (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UANL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by R. Morales, assisted by T. Belmonte
2-2
90'
Yellow Card
M. Flores (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Pinuelas replaces J. Venegas
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Pedro Raul replaces A. Mosquera
83'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: R. Fulgencio replaces L. Quinones
82'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Vigon replaces S. Cordova
77'
Yellow Card
R. Morales (Toluca) cautioned
76'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by A. Gignac
1-2
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces C. Baeza
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
74'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: Samir replaces F. Gorriaran
74'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Herrera replaces J. Angulo
68'
Yellow Card
J. Angulo (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: N. Ibanez replaces D. Lainez
63'
Yellow Card
R. Carioca (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
M. Isais (Toluca) cautioned
48'
Yellow Card
A. Gignac (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces J. Angulo
45'
Red Card
J. Meneses (Toluca) sent off for a second yellow card
45'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by J. Angulo, assisted by D. Lainez
1-1
44'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz
1-0
24'
Yellow Card
J. Meneses (Toluca) cautioned

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Toluca vs. Tigres UANL: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Wednesday, October 4, 2023
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +400, Tigres UANL -155, Draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-152/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 23.8%
  • Tigres UANL: 52.3%
  • Draw: 24.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Tigres UANL, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Tigres UANL a win probability of 52.3%, while Toluca has a win probability of 23.8%. The chance of a draw is 24.0%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Tigres UANL predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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