Guadalajara vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Toluca Liga MX game on October 1, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
:
1
Oct 1, 11:20PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Oct 1, 11:20PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (62')
R. Marin (69')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
GCH
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Martinez replaces J. Orozco
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Vega replaces R. Alvarado
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Mayorga replaces C. Calderon
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces J. Angulo
90'
Yellow Card
F. Navarro (Toluca) cautioned
80'
Yellow Card
A. Mosquera (Toluca) cautioned
74'
Yellow Card
J. R. Rangel Aguilar (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
69'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin, assisted by A. Mozo
1-1
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces J. Gamboa
62'
Goal scored for Toluca by E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
0-1
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces R. Cisneros
54'
Yellow Card
A. Mozo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces Pedro Raul
42'
Yellow Card
Pedro Raul (Toluca) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
G. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Guadalajara +235, Toluca +110, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-130/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 30.0%
  • Toluca: 45.2%
  • Draw: 24.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Guadalajara 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 45.2%, while Guadalajara has a win probability of 30.0%. The chance of a draw is 24.8%.

Summary

Our Guadalajara vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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