Necaxa vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Pachuca Liga MX game on September 30, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
:
1
Sep 30, 11PM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
Pachuca
Sep 30, 11PM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
B. Gonzalez (13')
B. D. Castillo Segura (84')
F. Arce (20')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
NEC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: B. Samudio replaces F. Batista
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: R. Lopez replaces M. Hinestroza
84'
Red Card
B. D. Castillo Segura (Pachuca) sent off for a second yellow card
83'
Yellow Card
G. Cabral (Pachuca) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: C. Gonzalez replaces B. Garnica
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Mendez replaces R. Monreal
78'
Yellow Card
L. Di Yorio (Pachuca) cautioned
75'
Yellow Card
R. Cortez (Necaxa) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: O. Idrissi replaces B. Gonzalez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Di Yorio replaces R. de la Rosa
71'
Yellow Card
J. Cortes (Necaxa) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
B. Gonzalez (Pachuca) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: V. Poggi replaces A. Andrade
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces H. Jurado
61'
Yellow Card
B. Garnica (Necaxa) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: I. Hernandez replaces J. Lopez
54'
Yellow Card
J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez (Necaxa) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
B. D. Castillo Segura (Pachuca) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
F. Batista (Necaxa) cautioned
20'
Goal scored for Necaxa by F. Arce, assisted by H. Jurado
1-1
13'
Goal scored for Pachuca by B. Gonzalez
0-1

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Necaxa vs. Pachuca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Hidalgo

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Necaxa +425, Pachuca -160, Draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-132/+105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Necaxa: 17.5%
  • Pachuca: 60.0%
  • Draw: 22.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Necaxa 0-1 Pachuca, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Pachuca a win probability of 60.0%, while Necaxa has a win probability of 17.5%. The chance of a draw is 22.5%.

Summary

Our Necaxa vs. Pachuca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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