Pachuca vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Toluca Liga MX game on September 3, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
0
5
Sep 3, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Sep 3, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (24')
M. Araujo (28')
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (52')
Pedro Raul (57')
Pedro Raul (63')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PAC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces J. Meneses
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces M. Araujo
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: C. Ortiz replaces E. Sanchez
68'
Yellow Card
J. Venegas (Toluca) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces Pedro Raul
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Baeza replaces J. Angulo
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces M. Ruiz
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: J. Lopez replaces L. Sanchez
63'
Goal scored for Toluca by Pedro Raul, assisted by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
0-5
57'
Goal scored for Toluca by Pedro Raul, assisted by J. Angulo
0-4
52'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by M. Araujo
0-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Di Yorio replaces R. de la Rosa
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: F. Figueroa replaces David Terans
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: B. D. Castillo Segura replaces J. Castillo
28'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Araujo, assisted by J. Meneses
0-2
24'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
0-1
24'
Yellow Card
C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
M. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned

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Pachuca vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, September 3, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pachuca +200, Toluca +120, Draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-172/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pachuca: 31.1%
  • Toluca: 45.3%
  • Draw: 23.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pachuca 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 45.3%, while Pachuca has a win probability of 31.1%. The chance of a draw is 23.6%.

Summary

Our Pachuca vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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