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Pachuca vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Toluca Liga MX game on August 28, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
4
1
Aug 28, 5PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Aug 28, 5PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
J. Meneses (63')
S. Saucedo (90')
I. Hernandez (15')
I. Hernandez (24')
P. de la Fuente (73')
N. Ibanez (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PAC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Pachuca by N. Ibanez, assisted by P. de la Fuente
4-1
90'
Yellow Card
C. Sanvezzo (Toluca) cautioned
90'
Red Card
S. Saucedo (Toluca) sent off for a second yellow card
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces O. Ortega
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Lopez replaces B. Angulo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: J. Lopez replaces V. Guzman
74'
Yellow Card
J. Meneses (Toluca) cautioned
74'
Yellow Card
S. Saucedo (Toluca) cautioned
73'
Goal scored for Pachuca by P. de la Fuente, assisted by L. Chavez
3-1
67'
Yellow Card
L. Chavez (Pachuca) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: N. Ibanez replaces I. Hernandez
66'
Yellow Card
P. de la Fuente (Pachuca) cautioned
63'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by B. Angulo
2-1
59'
Yellow Card
O. Murillo (Pachuca) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: P. de la Fuente replaces M. Hinestroza
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: I. Luna replaces J. Hernandez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: D. Alvarez replaces M. Ruiz
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces F. Navarro
29'
Yellow Card
O. Ortega (Toluca) cautioned
24'
Goal scored for Pachuca by I. Hernandez, assisted by M. Isais
2-0
24'
Yellow Card
I. Hernandez (Pachuca) cautioned
21'
Yellow Card
B. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned
15'
Goal scored for Pachuca by I. Hernandez
1-0
12'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: S. Saucedo replaces L. Fernandez
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Pachuca vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, August 28, 2022
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pachuca +150, Toluca +185, Draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pachuca: 40.0%
  • Toluca: 34.2%
  • Draw: 25.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pachuca 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 34.2%, while Pachuca has a win probability of 40.0%. The chance of a draw is 25.8%.

Summary

Our Pachuca vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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