Monterrey vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Toluca Liga MX game on August 17, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
1
:
1
Aug 18, 12AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Aug 18, 12AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
L. Fernandez (27')
R. Aguirre (71')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MON
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Torres replaces A. Mosquera
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: C. Montes replaces R. Funes Mori
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces J. Meneses
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: D. Alvarez replaces L. Fernandez
73'
Yellow Card
M. Meza (Monterrey) cautioned
71'
Goal scored for Monterrey by R. Aguirre, assisted by M. Meza
1-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Lopez replaces F. Navarro
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Sierra replaces O. Ortega
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: R. Funes Mori replaces C. Ortiz
59'
Yellow Card
O. Ortega (Toluca) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: M. Meza replaces J. Reyes
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: G. Berterame replaces R. Pizarro
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Gonzalez replaces S. Vegas
38'
Yellow Card
L. Fernandez (Toluca) cautioned
31'
Yellow Card
J. Reyes (Monterrey) cautioned
27'
Goal scored for Toluca by L. Fernandez, assisted by J. Meneses
0-1
23'
Yellow Card
S. Vegas (Monterrey) cautioned

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Monterrey vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Toluca
  • Date: Wednesday, August 17, 2022
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Monterrey +195, Toluca +145, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-138/+110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Monterrey: 44.5%
  • Toluca: 31.5%
  • Draw: 24.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Monterrey 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 31.5%, while Monterrey has a win probability of 44.5%. The chance of a draw is 24.0%.

Summary

Our Monterrey vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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