Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX game on August 14, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
3
2
Aug 14, 10PM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Cruz Azul
Aug 14, 10PM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
R. Mori (18')
R. Huescas (81')
S. Jurado (90')
J. Meneses (30')
M. Ruiz (43')
C. Sanvezzo (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CRA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
S. Jurado (Cruz Azul) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Yellow Card
R. Baca (Cruz Azul) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
I. Rivero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
U. Antuna (Cruz Azul) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo (pen.)
3-2
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Rodriguez replaces F. Navarro
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Lopez replaces O. Ortega
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Romero replaces C. Rotondi
81'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by R. Huescas
2-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Escoboza replaces L. Abram
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Gonzalez
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: D. Alvarez replaces J. Meneses
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Sierra replaces L. Fernandez
69'
Yellow Card
G. Carneiro (Cruz Azul) cautioned
62'
Yellow Card
T. Volpi (Toluca) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Carneiro replaces J. Dominguez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Huescas replaces C. Tabo
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Baca replaces E. Lira
44'
Yellow Card
V. Huerta (Toluca) cautioned
43'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz, assisted by F. Navarro
2-1
30'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Meneses, assisted by L. Fernandez
1-1
18'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by R. Mori, assisted by C. Rotondi
0-1

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Toluca vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Sunday, August 14, 2022
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Azteca

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +250, Cruz Azul +115, Draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+100/-125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 27.4%
  • Cruz Azul: 48.1%
  • Draw: 24.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Cruz Azul a win probability of 48.1%, while Toluca has a win probability of 27.4%. The chance of a draw is 24.5%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Cruz Azul predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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