Puebla vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Toluca Liga MX game on August 2, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
:
1
Aug 3, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Aug 3, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
J. Sierra (67')
A. Mosquera (83')
O. Fernandez (17')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
PBL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Garcia replaces M. Araujo
83'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Mosquera, assisted by F. Navarro
1-1
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: P. Gonzalez replaces E. Martinez
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. Altidore replaces M. Barragan
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. Cortizo replaces O. Fernandez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: D. Alvarez replaces C. Gonzalez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Rodriguez replaces R. Lopez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Baeza
67'
Red Card
J. Sierra (Toluca) sent off with a straight red card
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Sierra replaces L. Fernandez
57'
Yellow Card
G. Ferrareis (Puebla) cautioned
56'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
51'
Yellow Card
D. Aguilar (Puebla) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: D. Aguilar replaces I. Vazquez
39'
Yellow Card
I. Vazquez (Puebla) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
G. Silva (Puebla) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
M. Barragan (Puebla) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
V. Huerta (Toluca) cautioned
17'
Goal scored for Puebla by O. Fernandez, assisted by M. Araujo
1-0

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Puebla vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Toluca
  • Date: Tuesday, August 2, 2022
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Puebla +210, Toluca +135, Draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Puebla: 36.3%
  • Toluca: 38.4%
  • Draw: 25.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Puebla 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 38.4%, while Puebla has a win probability of 36.3%. The chance of a draw is 25.3%.

Summary

Our Puebla vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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