Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Liga MX game on May 14, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
1
3
May 14, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
May 14, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (26')
M. Ruiz (45')
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (53')
S. Cordova (72')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UANL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. Carioca (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces M. Ruiz
87'
Yellow Card
M. Araujo (Toluca) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: S. Saucedo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
86'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: F. I. Ordonez Delgado replaces S. Cordova
85'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: S. E. Fierro Gonzalez replaces A. Gignac
81'
Yellow Card
I. Lichnovsky (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: L. Fernandez replaces C. Baeza
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces B. Angulo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: L. Quinones replaces D. Lainez
72'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by S. Cordova, assisted by A. Gignac
1-3
69'
Yellow Card
J. Meneses (Toluca) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
J. Angulo (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: N. Lopez replaces R. Fulgencio
66'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: R. Carioca replaces G. Pizarro
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Torres replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
53'
Goal scored for Toluca by E. I. Lopez Rodriguez, assisted by C. Gonzalez
0-3
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz, assisted by C. Gonzalez
0-2
45'
Yellow Card
A. Mosquera (Toluca) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
D. Lainez (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
G. Pizarro (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
R. Fulgencio (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
26'
Goal scored for Toluca by E. I. Lopez Rodriguez, assisted by B. Angulo
0-1

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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Tigres UANL +300, Toluca -110, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-154/+115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 26.7%
  • Toluca: 48.8%
  • Draw: 24.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Tigres UANL 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 48.8%, while Tigres UANL has a win probability of 26.7%. The chance of a draw is 24.5%.

Summary

Our Tigres UANL vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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