Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX game on May 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
4
May 12, 3:10AM Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León (San Nicolás de los Garza)
Tigres UANL
May 12, 3:10AM Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León (San Nicolás de los Garza)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
S. Cordova (14')
A. Gignac (pen.) (31')
J. Vigon (45')
N. Lopez (72')
L. Fernandez (8')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UANL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Venegas replaces L. Fernandez
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: S. Saucedo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
76'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: R. Carioca replaces J. Vigon
76'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: F. I. Ordonez Delgado replaces R. Fulgencio
72'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by N. Lopez
1-4
69'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: N. Lopez replaces D. Lainez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Garza replaces J. Aquino
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces M. Ruiz
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. Angulo replaces J. Meneses
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces C. Orrantia
45'
Yellow Card
L. Fernandez (Toluca) cautioned
45'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by J. Vigon
1-3
37'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: I. Lichnovsky replaces Samir
31'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by A. Gignac (pen.)
1-2
14'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by S. Cordova, assisted by D. Lainez
1-1
8'
Goal scored for Toluca by L. Fernandez
1-0
7'
Yellow Card
J. Aquino (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned

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Toluca vs. Tigres UANL: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Thursday, May 11, 2023
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +260, Tigres UANL +105, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-128/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 29.4%
  • Tigres UANL: 45.2%
  • Draw: 25.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Tigres UANL, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Tigres UANL a win probability of 45.2%, while Toluca has a win probability of 29.4%. The chance of a draw is 25.4%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Tigres UANL predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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