Necaxa vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Toluca Liga MX game on April 30, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
0
3
Apr 30, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Apr 30, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
L. Fernandez (pen.) (31')
C. Gonzalez (52')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (71')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. Lopez replaces M. Araujo
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Gonzalez
80'
Yellow Card
M. Silvera (Necaxa) cautioned
79'
Yellow Card
M. Araujo (Toluca) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Venegas replaces L. Fernandez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces F. Navarro
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces M. Ruiz
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces B. Garnica
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Pineda replaces J. Esquivel
71'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
0-3
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: D. Batallini replaces E. Mendez
52'
Yellow Card
E. Mendez (Necaxa) cautioned
52'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Gonzalez, assisted by L. Fernandez
0-2
51'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Madrigal replaces V. Poggi
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: M. Silvera replaces R. Monreal
33'
Yellow Card
R. Monreal (Necaxa) cautioned
31'
Goal scored for Toluca by L. Fernandez (pen.)
0-1

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Necaxa vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Necaxa +600, Toluca -235, Draw +420

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Necaxa: 15.2%
  • Toluca: 65.6%
  • Draw: 19.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Necaxa 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 65.6%, while Necaxa has a win probability of 15.2%. The chance of a draw is 19.3%.

Summary

Our Necaxa vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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