Juarez vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Toluca Liga MX game on April 23, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Juarez
1
:
1
Apr 23, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Apr 23, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (45')
B. Angulo (89')
D. Chavez (69')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
JUA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Red Card
B. Angulo (Toluca) sent off for a second yellow card
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: L. Fernandez replaces C. Baeza
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: A. Acosta replaces A. Mora
69'
Goal scored for Juarez by D. Chavez, assisted by A. Sonora
1-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces S. Saucedo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: D. Garcia replaces J. Salas
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. Sonora replaces A. Medina
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. Duenas replaces J. Sierra
60'
Yellow Card
C. Salcedo (Juarez) cautioned
60'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
60'
Yellow Card
M. Araujo (Toluca) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: D. Chavez replaces A. Urzi
54'
Yellow Card
B. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
0-1
45'
Yellow Card
V. Huerta (Toluca) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned
19'
Yellow Card
J. Salas (Juarez) cautioned

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Juarez vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Juarez +480, Toluca -190, Draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-158/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Juarez: 14.4%
  • Toluca: 66.3%
  • Draw: 19.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Juarez 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 66.3%, while Juarez has a win probability of 14.4%. The chance of a draw is 19.3%.

Summary

Our Juarez vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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