Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX game on April 16, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL

LIGA MX

FINAL

LIGA MX

Toluca

Apr 16, 6PM Estadio Olímpico de Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))

Pumas UNAM

Apr 16, 6PM Estadio Olímpico de Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

Pumas UNAMUNAM

Score Summary

TolucaTOL

J. Dinenno (1')

C. S. Huerta Valera (38')

E. Salvio (pen.) (44')

C. Gonzalez (pen.) (31')

J. Meneses (60')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

UNAM

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

TOL

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

85'

Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: H. Meritao replaces E. Salvio

85'

Substitution for Toluca: J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez replaces M. Ruiz

85'

Substitution for Toluca: A. Rodriguez replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez

84'

Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: D. de Oliveira Barbosa replaces J. Dinenno

79'

A. Mosquera (Toluca) cautioned

68'

Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Ruvalcaba replaces U. Rivas

64'

M. Araujo (Toluca) cautioned

60'

J. Meneses (Toluca) sent off with a straight red card

57'

Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Molina replaces G. Del Prete

55'

J. Meneses (Toluca) cautioned

54'

Substitution for Toluca: L. Fernandez replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo

48'

Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces J. Venegas

47'

U. Rivas (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces B. Angulo

45'

B. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned

44'

Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by E. Salvio (pen.)

1-3

38'

Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by C. S. Huerta Valera, assisted by E. Salvio

1-2

33'

J. Dinenno (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned

32'

J. Venegas (Toluca) cautioned

31'

Goal scored for Toluca by C. Gonzalez (pen.)

1-1

30'

A. Ortiz (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned

Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by J. Dinenno, assisted by P. Bennevendo

0-1

Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM
Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023
Time: 2:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Toluca +125, Pumas UNAM +200, Draw +275

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Toluca: 28.0%
Pumas UNAM: 49.8%
Draw: 22.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Pumas UNAM a win probability of 28.0%, while Toluca has a win probability of 49.8%. The chance of a draw is 22.2%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.