Mazatlan vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. Toluca Liga MX game on March 12, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
4
Mar 12, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Mar 12, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
C. Gonzalez (25')
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (45')
M. Araujo (48')
C. Sanvezzo (83')
N. Benedetti (38')
N. Benedetti (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MAZ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
83'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo, assisted by S. Saucedo
1-4
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces J. Meneses
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. Lopez replaces M. Araujo
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Gamboa replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. J. Colman Escobar replaces R. Meraz
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Sansores replaces E. Bello
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: S. Saucedo replaces B. Angulo
54'
Yellow Card
C. Sanvezzo (Toluca) cautioned
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Gonzalez
48'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Araujo
1-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Y. Barcenas replaces A. Loba
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: F. Illescas replaces A. Oswaldo
46'
Yellow Card
Y. Barcenas (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
45'
Red Card
N. Benedetti (Mazatlan FC) sent off with a straight red card
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by E. I. Lopez Rodriguez, assisted by F. Navarro
1-2
38'
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by N. Benedetti, assisted by A. Loba
1-1
25'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Gonzalez, assisted by J. Meneses
0-1
15'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Montano replaces J. Intriago

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Mazatlan vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, March 12, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Mazatlan +2300, Toluca -360, Draw +1000

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 12.8%
  • Toluca: 70.0%
  • Draw: 17.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Mazatlan 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 70.0%, while Mazatlan has a win probability of 12.8%. The chance of a draw is 17.1%.

Summary

Our Mazatlan vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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