Toluca vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Pachuca Liga MX game on February 19, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
2
1
Feb 20, 3:05AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
Pachuca
Feb 20, 3:05AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
J. Lopez (79')
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (11')
C. Sanvezzo (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo, assisted by L. Fernandez
2-1
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces C. Baeza
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Gonzalez
79'
Goal scored for Pachuca by J. Lopez, assisted by C. Arango
1-1
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: I. Luna replaces L. Chavez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces M. Ruiz
69'
Yellow Card
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: L. Fernandez replaces B. Angulo
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Venegas replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
62'
Yellow Card
B. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Hurtado replaces R. de la Rosa
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: M. Hinestroza replaces I. Hernandez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: C. Arango replaces J. Hernandez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: J. Lopez replaces F. Figueroa
11'
Goal scored for Toluca by E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
1-0

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Toluca vs. Pachuca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Sunday, February 19, 2023
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Hidalgo

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +350, Pachuca -135, Draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-165/+122)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 22.2%
  • Pachuca: 55.8%
  • Draw: 22.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Pachuca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Pachuca a win probability of 55.8%, while Toluca has a win probability of 22.2%. The chance of a draw is 22.1%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Pachuca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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