Cruz Azul vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Toluca Liga MX game on February 12, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
1
3
Feb 12, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Feb 12, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
M. Araujo (32')
M. Araujo (54')
S. Saucedo (87')
C. Rotondi (28')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CRA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
J. Escobar (Cruz Azul) cautioned
87'
Goal scored for Toluca by S. Saucedo
1-3
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Estrada replaces A. H. Gutierrez Torres
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Lotti replaces G. Carneiro
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Carrera replaces C. Rotondi
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Baeza replaces M. Araujo
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces L. Fernandez
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Morales replaces R. Mori
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Gonzalez replaces C. Sanvezzo
56'
Yellow Card
A. Mosquera (Toluca) cautioned
54'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Araujo, assisted by J. Meneses
1-2
51'
Yellow Card
J. Corona (Cruz Azul) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
G. Carneiro (Cruz Azul) cautioned
32'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Araujo, assisted by M. Ruiz
1-1
28'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi, assisted by C. Rodriguez
1-0
24'
Yellow Card
L. Fernandez (Toluca) cautioned
15'
Yellow Card
J. Dominguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned

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Cruz Azul vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, February 12, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Cruz Azul +185, Toluca +150, Draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 27.1%
  • Toluca: 48.8%
  • Draw: 24.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 48.8%, while Cruz Azul has a win probability of 27.1%. The chance of a draw is 24.0%.

Summary

Our Cruz Azul vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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