Toluca vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Monterrey Liga MX game on February 5, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
2
Feb 6, 1:10AM Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe)
Monterrey
Feb 6, 1:10AM Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
A. Gonzalez (18')
A. Gonzalez (31')
M. Araujo (62')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MON
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Cortizo replaces C. Ortiz
90'
Yellow Card
R. Funes Mori (Monterrey) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: S. Saucedo replaces J. Meneses
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: D. Vergara replaces G. Berterame
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: S. Vegas replaces J. Gallardo
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Baeza
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Venegas replaces M. Ruiz
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: O. Govea replaces R. Aguirre
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: M. Meza replaces A. Gonzalez
62'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Araujo, assisted by J. Meneses
1-2
56'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. Angulo replaces I. Violante
35'
Yellow Card
J. Gallardo (Monterrey) cautioned
31'
Goal scored for Monterrey by A. Gonzalez, assisted by J. Gallardo
0-2
30'
Yellow Card
S. Medina (Monterrey) cautioned
18'
Goal scored for Monterrey by A. Gonzalez, assisted by G. Berterame
0-1

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Toluca vs. Monterrey: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Sunday, February 5, 2023
  • Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 18.0%
  • Monterrey: 60.6%
  • Draw: 21.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 0-1 Monterrey, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Monterrey a win probability of 60.6%, while Toluca has a win probability of 18.0%. The chance of a draw is 21.4%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Monterrey predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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