Toluca vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Guadalajara Liga MX game on January 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
2
1
Jan 22, 3:10AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Jan 22, 3:10AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
V. Huerta (o.g.) (32')
C. Gonzalez (61')
M. Ruiz (85')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz, assisted by C. Sanvezzo
2-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Tepa replaces F. Beltran
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Gonzalez
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. Angulo replaces J. Meneses
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Perez Bouquet replaces F. Gonzalez
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Rios replaces C. Cisneros
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: P. Perez replaces V. Guzman
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Torres replaces R. Cisneros
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces C. Orrantia
61'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Gonzalez, assisted by M. Araujo
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. A. Garcia Caprizo replaces L. Fernandez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces C. Baeza
37'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
32'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by V. Huerta (o.g.)
0-1

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Toluca vs. Guadalajara: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, January 21, 2023
  • Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +320, Guadalajara -105, Draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-110/-115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 26.9%
  • Guadalajara: 47.5%
  • Draw: 25.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Guadalajara a win probability of 47.5%, while Toluca has a win probability of 26.9%. The chance of a draw is 25.7%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Guadalajara predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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