Atlas vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Toluca Liga MX game on July 10, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Atlas
2
3
Jul 10, 5PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Jul 10, 5PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
AtlasATL
L. Fernandez (3')
F. Navarro (10')
V. Huerta (15')
M. Ruiz (72')
J. A. Ocejo Zazueta (43')
A. Rocha (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Meneses (Toluca) cautioned
84'
Goal scored for Atlas by A. Rocha, assisted by H. Nervo
2-3
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Rodriguez replaces F. Navarro
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Sierra replaces L. Fernandez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: L. Rodriguez Trezza replaces E. Zaldivar
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Marquez replaces J. Abella
72'
Red Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) sent off with a straight red card
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Trejo replaces A. Chala
65'
Yellow Card
A. Santamaria (Atlas) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
A. Chala (Atlas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: E. Flores replaces E. Aguilera
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Gonzalez
43'
Goal scored for Atlas by J. A. Ocejo Zazueta, assisted by A. Rocha
1-3
41'
Yellow Card
E. Zaldivar (Atlas) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
H. Nervo (Atlas) cautioned
30'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Guzman replaces R. Lopez
15'
Goal scored for Toluca by V. Huerta, assisted by L. Fernandez
0-3
10'
Goal scored for Toluca by F. Navarro, assisted by J. Meneses
0-2
3'
Goal scored for Toluca by L. Fernandez, assisted by F. Navarro
0-1

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Atlas vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, July 10, 2022
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atlas +195, Toluca +155, Draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+120/-149)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atlas: 39.7%
  • Toluca: 33.1%
  • Draw: 27.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Atlas 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 33.1%, while Atlas has a win probability of 39.7%. The chance of a draw is 27.3%.

Summary

Our Atlas vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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