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Toluca vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Necaxa Liga MX game on July 2, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
3
1
Jul 2, 10PM Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Jul 2, 10PM Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
F. Formiliano (39')
L. Fernandez (3')
V. Huerta (24')
C. Sanvezzo (pen.) (69')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Rodriguez replaces F. Navarro
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: S. Saucedo replaces J. Meneses
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Godinez replaces B. Garnica
74'
Yellow Card
D. Villalpando (Necaxa) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Madrigal replaces M. Gimenez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Batista replaces E. Mendez
69'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo (pen.)
3-1
68'
Yellow Card
E. Mendez (Necaxa) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Gonzalez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Ruiz replaces J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. Angulo replaces L. Fernandez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: U. Cardona replaces A. Araos
54'
Yellow Card
A. Araos (Necaxa) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
39'
Goal scored for Necaxa by F. Formiliano, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
2-1
34'
Penalty missed by E. Mendez for Necaxa
32'
Yellow Card
T. Volpi (Toluca) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
L. Fernandez (Toluca) cautioned
24'
Goal scored for Toluca by V. Huerta, assisted by L. Fernandez
2-0
3'
Goal scored for Toluca by L. Fernandez
1-0
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Toluca vs. Necaxa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Saturday, July 2, 2022
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +310, Necaxa -105, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-110/-115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 24.2%
  • Necaxa: 52.1%
  • Draw: 23.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Necaxa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Necaxa a win probability of 52.1%, while Toluca has a win probability of 24.2%. The chance of a draw is 23.8%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Necaxa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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