Toluca vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Santos Laguna Liga MX game on October 16, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
3
4
Oct 17, 12:06AM Estadio Nuevo Corona (Torreón)
Santos Laguna
Oct 17, 12:06AM Estadio Nuevo Corona (Torreón)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Santos LagunaSAN
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
C. Gonzalez (4')
C. Sanvezzo (6')
C. Sanvezzo (74')
T. Volpi (pen.) (90')
F. Gorriaran (pen.) (30')
H. Preciado (38')
E. Aguirre (49')
J. Brunetta (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SAN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by T. Volpi (pen.)
3-4
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Lopez replaces C. Sanvezzo
84'
Red Card
J. Brunetta (Santos Laguna) sent off for a second yellow card
82'
Yellow Card
J. Correa (Santos Laguna) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: D. Medina replaces E. Aguirre
75'
Yellow Card
J. Meneses (Toluca) cautioned
74'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo, assisted by B. Angulo
3-3
69'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
66'
Yellow Card
C. Sanvezzo (Toluca) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. Correa replaces H. Preciado
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. Gonzalez replaces L. Suarez
52'
Yellow Card
A. Mosquera (Toluca) cautioned
49'
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by E. Aguirre, assisted by O. Campos
3-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. Angulo replaces L. Fernandez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Ruiz replaces J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez
45'
Yellow Card
O. Campos (Santos Laguna) cautioned
44'
Yellow Card
J. Brunetta (Santos Laguna) cautioned
38'
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by H. Preciado, assisted by J. Brunetta
2-2
30'
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by F. Gorriaran (pen.)
1-2
27'
Yellow Card
T. Volpi (Toluca) cautioned
6'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo, assisted by J. Meneses
0-2
4'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Gonzalez, assisted by L. Fernandez
0-1

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Toluca vs. Santos Laguna: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Sunday, October 16, 2022
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Corona

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +500, Santos Laguna -210, Draw +390

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 14.2%
  • Santos Laguna: 69.1%
  • Draw: 16.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-2 Santos Laguna, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Santos Laguna a win probability of 69.1%, while Toluca has a win probability of 14.2%. The chance of a draw is 16.6%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Santos Laguna predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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