Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Liga MX game on October 13, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Santos Laguna
3
4
Oct 14, 12:06AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Oct 14, 12:06AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Santos LagunaSAN
C. Gonzalez (4')
C. Sanvezzo (6')
C. Sanvezzo (74')
T. Volpi (pen.) (90')
F. Gorriaran (pen.) (30')
H. Preciado (38')
E. Aguirre (49')
J. Brunetta (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SAN
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Toluca by T. Volpi (pen.)
3-4
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Lopez replaces C. Sanvezzo
84'
Red Card
J. Brunetta (Santos Laguna) sent off for a second yellow card
82'
Yellow Card
J. Correa (Santos Laguna) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: D. Medina replaces E. Aguirre
75'
Yellow Card
J. Meneses (Toluca) cautioned
74'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo, assisted by B. Angulo
3-3
69'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
66'
Yellow Card
C. Sanvezzo (Toluca) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. Correa replaces H. Preciado
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. Gonzalez replaces L. Suarez
52'
Yellow Card
A. Mosquera (Toluca) cautioned
49'
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by E. Aguirre, assisted by O. Campos
3-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. Angulo replaces L. Fernandez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Ruiz replaces J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez
45'
Yellow Card
O. Campos (Santos Laguna) cautioned
44'
Yellow Card
J. Brunetta (Santos Laguna) cautioned
38'
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by H. Preciado, assisted by J. Brunetta
2-2
30'
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by F. Gorriaran (pen.)
1-2
27'
Yellow Card
T. Volpi (Toluca) cautioned
6'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo, assisted by J. Meneses
0-2
4'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Gonzalez, assisted by L. Fernandez
0-1

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Santos Laguna vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Santos Laguna vs. Toluca
  • Date: Thursday, October 13, 2022
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Santos Laguna +180, Toluca +150, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Santos Laguna: 41.8%
  • Toluca: 35.2%
  • Draw: 23.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Santos Laguna 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 35.2%, while Santos Laguna has a win probability of 41.8%. The chance of a draw is 23.0%.

Summary

Our Santos Laguna vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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