Toluca vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Mazatlan Liga MX game on September 16, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
:
1
Sep 17, 2AM Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Sep 17, 2AM Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
B. Colula (23')
C. Sanvezzo (55')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Rodriguez replaces F. Navarro
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces J. Meneses
90'
Yellow Card
C. Sanvezzo (Toluca) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
E. Cedillo (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: E. Cedillo replaces N. Vidrio
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Rubio replaces N. Benedetti
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Sanchez replaces R. Meraz
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: E. Bello replaces G. Sosa
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. J. Colman Escobar replaces Y. Barcenas
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez replaces D. Alvarez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Gonzalez replaces B. Angulo
63'
Yellow Card
O. Ortega (Toluca) cautioned
55'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Sanvezzo, assisted by O. Ortega
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: O. Ortega replaces C. Guzman
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces J. Sierra
45'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
Y. Barcenas (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
23'
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by B. Colula
0-1
20'
Yellow Card
G. Sosa (Mazatlan FC) cautioned

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Toluca vs. Mazatlan: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, September 16, 2022
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mazatlán

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +155, Mazatlan +180, Draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-110/-115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 33.4%
  • Mazatlan: 41.2%
  • Draw: 25.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Mazatlan, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Mazatlan a win probability of 41.2%, while Toluca has a win probability of 33.4%. The chance of a draw is 25.4%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Mazatlan predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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